首先建立了风力发电和光伏发电的天气模型，提出了衡量供电可靠性的失负荷概率LOLP、衡量清洁能源浪费的失能量概率LOEP 和系统成本等指标，并采用蒙特卡罗仿真进行计算.-First set up the model of wind power and photovoltaic power, put forward the measure of the loss of load probability of power supply reliability LOLP LOEP, measure th