质量非常好的一篇博士论文。冲击破坏过程十分复杂，很难建立精确的数学模型，但目前具有冲击危险性的矿井都采取了多种监测措施，可以获得大量冲击地压监测数据。本论文以获取的冲击地压监测历史时间序列数据为基础，在相空间重构出的动力学空间中分析其混沌特性，基于混沌预测理论，采用智能算法对多个冲击地压监测变量进行预测研究，并采用集成分类方法对冲击危险性进行识别预测研究。-Quality is very good a doctoral dissertation. The impact of the destruction process is very complex, it is difficult to establish a precise mathematical model, but with the impact of hazardous mine have taken a variety of measures to monitor, you can get a lot of bumping monitoring data. In this paper, the impact of pressure to get the monitoring of historical time series data, analyze its characteristics in phase space reconstruction of chaotic dynamics of the space prediction based on chaos theory, the use of intelligent algorithms to press multiple variables to predict the impact of monitoring Research and integrated classification method to identify the impact of risk prediction.